⚠ Educational Use Only: Market Dak is NOT a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. This report does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered professional before making investment decisions.
INFY
Infosys
● NEUTRAL
Current Market Price
₹1,159.90
+0.00  (+0%)
Day High
₹1,167.30
Day Low
₹1,155.00
52W High
₹1,728.00
52W Low
₹1,089.00
📊 About This Company
Infosys is India's second-largest IT services exporter and a global leader in consulting, technology, and outsourcing services with a market cap of ₹470,416 crore. The company operates across banking, financial services, insurance, retail, healthcare, and manufacturing, serving Fortune 500 clients worldwide. It is best known for delivering offshore IT services, digital transformation, and engineering solutions. The company's exceptional financial profile—ROE of 31.9%, debt-to-equity of 0.1, and consistent double-digit profit growth—reflects operational discipline and capital efficiency, yet the stock has declined 32.8% from its 52-week peak, suggesting market concern about future growth deceleration or valuation normalization.
Sector: Technology  •  Industry: Information Technology Services
RSI at 43.4 and price below MA20/MA50 signal ongoing bearish pressure, but MACD histogram divergence (+6.93) and fortress fundamentals (31.9% ROE, 10.2% profit growth, 0.1 D/E) with compressed volatility (BB width ₹103.82) suggest the downtrend is losing force without clear reversal strength; ADX of 19.7 confirms weak directional conviction.
🏢
Market Cap
₹470416 Cr
NSE listed
📊
P/E Ratio
15.6
📅
52W Range
₹1,089 – ₹1,728
CMP ₹1,160
📈
Volume Signal
Low
0.5x 10-day avg
Price Action
Volume, trend, moving averages & key levels
Low
0.5x today's avg (10-day)
Today: 6,371,871 shares
10-day avg: 13,284,825 shares
📊
Volume at only 0.5x the 10-day average means today's session has thin participation. Low-volume moves are unreliable: without sufficient buyers or sellers backing the move, prices often reverse once normal activity resumes. Be cautious about reading too much into today's direction until volume confirms with a higher-activity session.
Overall: BearishRSI(14): 43.4 — Bearishvs MA20: Belowvs MA50: Below
MA 20₹1,162.21Price is Below this level
MA 50₹1,226.87Price is Below this level
MA 200N/AInstitutional benchmark — long-term trend filter
📉
RSI at 43.4 is in the neutral 30–70 zone (bearish bias). No extreme overbought or oversold conditions — the stock has room to move in either direction. Direction will likely be determined by the next high-volume session or a news catalyst.
📈
Price is below both MA20 and MA50 — a bearish MA stack with short and medium-term momentum both negative. In downtrends, bounces to the MA20 are often sold — it acts as overhead resistance. A sustained close above MA20 followed by a reclaim of MA50 would be the first real signal of trend reversal.
Support Level
₹1,089.00
Price floor (last 20 sessions). CMP is 6.5% above.
Resistance Level
₹1,206.90
Price ceiling (last 20 sessions). 4.1% upside away.
ATR (14)
₹28.75
Average daily price range — higher = more volatile.
🎯
Support ₹1,089.00 is the level where buyers have historically stepped in during this stock's recent trading. A dip to this zone is often a tradeable bounce point — stop losses are typically placed just below it. Resistance ₹1,206.90 is where sellers have capped price in recent sessions. A clean breakout above resistance on high volume is the most actionable bullish signal. The trading range between support and resistance is ₹117.90 (10.2%). ATR of ₹28.75 means the stock typically moves ₹28.75 per day — use this for stop-loss sizing.
Extended Technicals
MACD, Bollinger Bands, ADX, Stochastic RSI
MACD (12,26,9)
-19.04 / Sig: -25.97 / Hist: 6.93
Positive histogram = buying pressure
ADX (14)
19.7 (Weak / Ranging)   +DI: 21.4 / -DI: 28.4
>25 = strong trend, <20 = ranging
Stochastic RSI
K: 75.2 / D: 79.1 (Neutral)
K>80 = overbought, K<20 = oversold
Bollinger Bands
₹1,110.30 / ₹1,162.21 / ₹1,214.12 — Inside bands (normal range)
Band width shows current volatility
Price Chart
3-month candlestick with MA20 & MA50
Fundamentals
Financials, valuations, growth & ownership
Revenue Growth (YoY)+9.6%
Profit Growth (YoY)+10.2%
Market Cap
₹470416 Cr
Total company value
P/E Ratio
15.6
Sector P/E: —
ROE
31.9%
>20% strong • >12% adequate • <12% weak
ROCE
40.0%
>15% efficient capital use
D/E Ratio
0.1
<0.5 low debt • >1.5 high debt
Promoter Hold.
14.38%
>55% = high promoter confidence
EPS (TTM)
72.59
Earnings per share, last 12 months
Book Value
229
Net assets per share
Div. Yield
4.14%
Annual dividend as % of price
🏦
ROE of 31.9% is strong (benchmark: 20%+) — the company generates excellent returns on shareholder capital. D/E ratio of 0.10 signals a virtually debt-free balance sheet — low financial risk and strong debt headroom.
✓ Strengths
  • Exceptional profitability: ROE of 31.9% more than doubles the 15% benchmark, demonstrating superior capital returns and operational excellence across the business.
  • Fortress balance sheet: Debt-to-equity of 0.1 indicates minimal leverage and substantial financial flexibility to invest, return capital, or weather sector cycles.
  • Solid organic growth: Revenue up 9.6% YoY and profit up 10.2% YoY show consistent double-digit earnings expansion despite macro headwinds and valuation compression.
  • Extreme valuation compression: Trading 46.3% below 52W high at ₹1159.9, near 52W lows, and at P/E 15.6 may offer deep-value entry for long-term compounders.
✗ Risks
  • FII capitulation: Foreign institutional holdings plunged 4.44% to 28.45%, the steepest decline, signalling loss of confidence and potential acceleration of selling pressure.
  • Bearish technical structure: Price below MA20 and MA50 with RSI 43.4 (bearish) and MACD -19.04 (negative) confirms downtrend persistence without clear reversal signals.
  • Weak volume and participation: Trading at 0.48x the 10-day average suggests institutional disengagement and low conviction, amplifying downside risk if support breaks.
  • Margin compression or growth deceleration risk: While 10.2% profit growth appears solid, geopolitical disruption, client budget cuts, or competition could erode margins over next quarters.
Sector Comparison
How this stock ranks vs peers
CompanyP/EMkt Cap (Cr)ROCE%Profit Var%Sales Var%
TCS—%—%
HCL Technologies—%—%
Wipro—%—%
Tech Mahindra—%—%
LTM—%—%
Shareholding Trend
Promoter / FII / DII — quarterly changes
Shareholding as of latest available quarter. Change shown vs previous quarter.
Promoter Holding
14.38%
▼ 0.22% vs Mar 2025
FII Holding
28.45%
▼ 4.44% vs Mar 2025
DII Holding
43.19%
▲ 4.87% vs Mar 2025
Mutual Fund Exposure
Top MFs holding this stock
Promoters14.4%
Foreign Institutions (FII)28.5%
Mutual Funds23.5%
Insurance Companies16.0%
Retail Investors7.5%
Other Domestic Inst.19.9%
🏛️
Mutual Funds hold 23.5% of this company, making them a significant institutional participant. Total domestic institutional ownership (MF + Insurance + Other DI) is 59.4%. FII (foreign institutions) hold 28.5%. High institutional ownership generally implies better liquidity and research coverage, but also means institutional selling can move the price sharply.
Source: Tickertape quarterly disclosure data. For individual MF scheme holdings, check Groww, Zerodha Kite, or Moneycontrol.
News & Market Sentiment
Headlines & options positioning
Overall sentiment: Mixed / Neutral▲ 0 positive  ▼ 0 negative  — 1 neutral
 INFOSYS LIMITED Share Price Today - Live INFY Stock Price for NSE/BSE — Upstox   26 May
📰
News sentiment is broadly neutral across 1 recent articles. No major positive or negative catalyst is dominating the narrative right now. Price action in this environment is more likely to be driven by technicals and broader market movement than stock-specific news.
PCR of 0.89 is in the neutral zone. Roughly balanced put and call open interest suggests no strong directional bias from options traders. Watch the Max Pain level — as expiry approaches, price tends to migrate toward ₹1,200 where most contracts expire worthless. The Max Pain strike of ₹1,200 is where the maximum number of options (both calls and puts) expire worthless. Market makers, who are short options, benefit from price landing near this level on expiry. In the week leading up to expiry, price often gravitates toward max pain.
PCR (Put/Call)
0.89
Signal: Neutral • >1.2 = bullish
Max Pain Strike
₹1,200
Price where most options expire worthless
Highest OI Call
₹1,200
Key resistance level from options market
Highest OI Put
₹1,120
Key support level from options market
Options Heatmap
OI by strike — where money is positioned
Call OI = resistance  |  Put OI = support  |  ◄ ATM = near current price  |  Outlined = Max Pain (₹1,200)
Call OI (CE)StrikePut OI (PE)
400₹1,040205,600
108,400₹1,050313,200
3,600₹1,060249,200
34,800₹1,070123,200
63,600₹1,080282,800
34,800₹1,09080,800
252,000₹1,100698,400
12,400₹1,11073,600
171,600₹1,1201,248,000
226,800₹1,130329,200
230,800₹1,140287,200
560,800₹1,150 ◄ ATM437,600
1,086,800₹1,160 ◄ ATM1,045,200
818,800₹1,170 ◄ ATM454,000
963,600₹1,180648,000
226,800₹1,190239,600
2,752,400₹1,200 ◄ Max Pain1,144,800
690,400₹1,21013,600
308,000₹1,22080,400
133,200₹1,23015,200
383,600₹1,240118,800
776,800₹1,250149,200
482,000₹1,260179,200
201,600₹1,27025,200
630,800₹1,280488,800
Scenario Analysis
Bear / Base / Bull outlook
📋
How these scenarios are calculated: The Bear Case (₹1,089) assumes the stock tests its recent support level (₹1,089) — what typically happens during market corrections or disappointing earnings. The Base Case (₹1,190) assumes the current trend continues and the stock moves ~65% of the way toward resistance over 3–6 months — a realistic continuation scenario. The Bull Case (₹1,267) assumes a breakout above resistance (₹1,207) with momentum follow-through — the optimistic but historically achievable scenario. These are probability-weighted reference points, not price targets or investment recommendations.
▼ Bear Case
₹1,089
-6.1% vs CMP
AssumptionSupport holds / macro headwinds
Horizon1–3 months
● Base Case
₹1,190
+2.6% vs CMP
Assumption10% rev growth
Horizon3–6 months
▲ Bull Case
₹1,267
+9.3% vs CMP
AssumptionResistance breakout + momentum
Horizon3–6 months
Scenario targets are technical projections based on support/resistance levels. Not financial advice. Actual outcomes may vary significantly.
🤖 AI DEEP NARRATIVE
A detailed AI-generated pre-trade dossier synthesizing all available data — technicals, fundamentals, shareholding, news, and options flow.
Infosys trades at ₹1159.9, down 29.3% from its 52-week high of ₹1728.0 and only 6.5% above the 52-week low of ₹1089.0, reflecting a sustained bearish trend with price trading below both the MA20 and MA50 moving averages. The RSI(14) reading of 43.4 confirms bearish momentum, while the MACD histogram of 6.93 with MACD at -19.04 shows early signs of bullish divergence but remains negative overall. Volume trading at 0.48x the 10-day average suggests weak institutional participation and retail disengagement, a concerning signal during a downtrend. The stock sits between support at ₹1089.0 (directly below) and resistance at ₹1206.9 (47 paise above current price), indicating a compressed range with limited upside room. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates strength with P/E of 15.6, an exceptional ROE of 31.9% (more than double the 15% benchmark), and a fortress balance sheet with D/E of just 0.1, paired with revenue growth of 9.6% YoY and profit growth of 10.2% YoY. Shareholding trends reveal concerning weakness: promoters reduced stakes by 0.22% to 14.38%, while FII holdings collapsed by 4.44% to 28.45%, signalling loss of confidence from foreign institutional investors. News sentiment remains neutral with zero positive and zero negative articles, offering no narrative catalyst. F&O data shows a neutral PCR of 0.89 with max pain at ₹1200.0, suggesting balanced call-put positioning but no strong directional conviction; key OI concentrations likely cluster around ₹1200 and ₹1250 strikes. ADX at 19.7 with +DI of 21.4 and -DI of 28.4 confirms a weak, range-bound market where the downtrend has lost momentum but lacks reversal strength; Bollinger Bands with upper band at ₹1214.12 and lower at ₹1110.3 show volatility compression of ₹103.82, typical of indecision. Key risks over the next 4–8 weeks include sustained FII outflows accelerating weakness below ₹1200, any earnings disappointment that contradicts the 10.2% profit growth narrative, geopolitical or sectoral headwinds affecting IT services demand, or macro interest rate surprises affecting valuations across the IT sector. For a patient investor, the data presents a paradox: world-class fundamentals (31.9% ROE, 0.1 D/E) and solid organic growth (9.6% revenue, 10.2% profit) are masked by technical weakness, falling volume, and capitulation by foreign investors—suggesting either genuine execution risk ahead or a capitulation-driven opportunity for contrarians, though the weak ADX at 19.7 warns against timing entry without clearer directional confirmation.
Risk Assessment
Auto-detected signals & risk score
53
MODERATE RISK
Score 53/100 — based on RSI, trend, debt & price position
⚠️
Risk score of 53/100Moderate Risk. Some caution signals are present but no extreme readings. This is a normal range for most actively traded stocks. Standard risk management applies.
Low DebtD/E of 0.1 — strong balance sheet.
⚠️
Thin VolumeVolume is 0.48x the 10-day average. Low conviction — move may not sustain.
⚠️
Bearish TrendStock is below MA20, MA50, MA200. All major averages are against price.
⚠️
FII OutflowFII holding fell 4.44% — foreign institutions reducing exposure.
Corporate Events
Upcoming results, dividends, splits
Corporate events data not available. Check NSE/BSE for upcoming actions.
DCF Calculator
Interactive scenario-based target price estimator
Estimate a target price using a simplified EPS-based DCF. Adjust the sliders to model bull, base, and bear outcomes over a 3-year horizon. The bear/bull scenarios automatically apply ±8% / +10% to your base CAGR assumption.
Fixed inputs:   Current CMP = ₹1,159.90  |  Implied EPS = ₹74.35 (CMP ÷ P/E 15.6)  |  Horizon = 3 years  |  Discount rate = 12% WACC (not applied in this simplified model — terminal P/E approach)
Base EPS CAGR (%) 9%
Exit P/E Multiple 16x
▼ Bear Case
● Base Case
▲ Bull Case
Simplified model: Target = EPS × (1+CAGR)³ × Exit P/E. Bear CAGR = base−8%, Bull CAGR = base+10%. Not financial advice. Use as one of many inputs, not a standalone signal.